Democracy in Action: Countries Where Citizens Will Shape the Future in 2024
Russia's Presidential Polls - March 17
Putin likely to secure another term with 80%+ approval. Ukraine conflict insights and potential asset seizures by the West pose economic risks.
Turkey's Local Polls - March 31
Post-Erdogans re-election may bring a return to orthodox economics, attracting investors. Concerns persist over a weak lira and inflation, hinging on Erdogans economic commitment for stability.
India Lok Sabha Polls - April-May (to be confirmed)
Modi seeks a third term amid global uncertainties. Capital flows to India, but persistent inflation and coalition-building pose market risks.
Mexican Presidential Polls - June 2
Morena partys lead may balance Congress, but increased spending could impact Mexicos currency and bonds.
South Africa Parliamentary Polls - May-August 2024 (to be confirmed)
ANCs majority at risk due to economic challenges. Easing austerity may influence debt, social spending, and currency stability.
US Presidential Polls - November 5
Potential Trump-Biden rematch raises concerns of social unrest and market volatility. Outcome may affect US-China relations, trade policies, and financial markets.
UK General Polls - Expected by end-2024
UK Labour party challenges ruling Conservatives. Economic uncertainties and spending promises may unsettle bonds, impacting taxation and energy policies.
Venezuelan Presidential Polls - 2024 (to be confirmed)
Maduros advantage brings volatility to stocks and bonds. Potential sanctions and lifted U.S. sanctions add complexity to Venezuelas economic outlook. Uncertainties prevail.