India Daily Maha Exit Poll 2023: Trends show nearly equal seat gains for Cong, BJP in Rajasthan

India Daily Maha Exit Poll 2023: As the Exit Polls 2023 paint a compelling picture of voter inclinations, all eyes now turn to Rajasthan Assembly Election Results 2023, scheduled for December 3.

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Edited By: Mayank Kasyap
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India Daily Maha Exit Poll 2023: In the aftermath of the Rajasthan Assembly election on November 25, the exit polls 2023 have laid bare the electoral landscape, predicting a substantial victory for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP). The intense battle between the BJP and Congress, augmented by the participation of regional players, Samajwadi Party and Bahujan Samaj Party, has captured the attention of 5.26 crore eligible voters in the state.

BJP's Prognosis: A majority on the horizon

The data-intensive Rajasthan Assembly Election Exit Poll 2023 portrays a vivid picture of voter sentiment, forecasting the Congress to secure around 90-100 seats, while the BJP is poised for a majority with a prediction of 100-110 seats. This projection amplifies the fierce competition as the incumbent Congress, led by Ashok Gehlot, contends against the confident BJP striving for a comeback after five years.

Trends show a two-way battle in Rajasthan
Trends show a two-way battle in Rajasthan India Daily Live

Analyzing the vote share dynamics

In the intricate web of electoral dynamics, the predicted vote share stands at 48.8% for the BJP and 39.9% for Congress. This statistical insight unveils the closely contested battle that unfolded across 199 out of 200 seats in Rajasthan. With the Congress vowing to retain power and the BJP exuding confidence in their victory, the political fervor has reached a crescendo.

Community voting trends: A microscopic view

Muslim voting trend

As the political chessboard unfolds, the predicted Muslim vote share indicates a significant tilt towards Congress with 59%, while the BJP is anticipated to secure 23%. This nuanced analysis sheds light on the diverse voting patterns in a state witnessing the convergence of various cultural and religious affiliations.

SC/ST voting preferences

Delving into the intricacies of social dynamics, the predicted voting preferences of Scheduled Castes (SC) and Scheduled Tribes (ST) are crucial indicators. SCs are predicted to lean towards Congress with a 47.0% vote share, while STs exhibit a preference for Congress with a 44.0% share, compared to BJP's 35% and 36.0%, respectively.

Youth and gender dynamics

Youth under 23

The youth demographic, aged under 23, emerges as a pivotal factor in this electoral saga. The predicted preference sees the youth leaning towards BJP with a 41% share, juxtaposed against Congress's 38%. This demographic's influence adds a dynamic layer to the overall political narrative.

OBCs and women voters

Zooming into the demographic intricacies, the Exit Poll 2023 forecasts OBCs favoring BJP with a 46% vote share, while Congress may secure 36% of OBC votes. Women voters, on the other hand, show a leaning towards BJP with a 38% share, while Congress is predicted to garner 43%. These insights highlight the diversity of voting patterns across different segments of the electorate.

Key candidates and constituencies

Spotlight on crucial seats

The Rajasthan Assembly Elections 2023 spotlight key battlegrounds, notably Sardarpura, a stronghold won by Congress leader Ashok Gehlot since 1998. BJP fields Mahendra Singh Rathore, intensifying the political tussle. Additionally, Tonk witnesses a face-off between Congress's Sachin Pilot and BJP's Ajit Singh Mehta. Other crucial constituencies include Jhunjhunu, Nathdwara, Jhalarapatan, Churu, and Jhotwara, each contributing to the intricate electoral mosaic.

Countdown to the final verdict

As the Exit Polls 2023 paint a compelling picture of voter inclinations, all eyes now turn to Rajasthan Assembly Election Results 2023, scheduled for December 3 (Sunday). The counting of votes commences at 8 AM, leaving political stakeholders on tenterhooks until the Election Commission of India declares the winners.