Which party would rule India? India Daily Live's latest survey sheds light on potential Lok Sabha outcome

After the Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Rajasthan, Telangana and Mizoram assembly elections, the biggest event now will be the next election in 2024. BJP has got a bumper victory in the three states of the Hindi belt Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and Rajasthan. After securing victory in these states, the ruling party's supporters are raising slogans of 'Abki baar 400 paar...'

The Bharatiya Janata Party is eying to win the Lok Sabha Polls again under the leadership of Modi in 2024. The opposition is calling this slogan the first political 'Jumla' of the 2024 elections. Now the big question arising is, what is the political environment in the country at present? If Lok Sabha elections are held in the meantime, then how many seats can each party get? What could be the outcome of the new India? India Daily Live conducted a survey regarding this and this political conundrum which appeared in the survey results. 

NDA seems to be getting the lead in India Daily Live's survey. NDA i.e. BJP alliance seems to be getting an increase of 10% to 12% in the number of Lok Sabha seats. Recently there has been a significant jump in the figures after the BJP government in three states.

Current situation of MP, Chhattisgarh and Rajasthan

There are 29 Lok Sabha seats in Madhya Pradesh. According to the survey, BJP may win 28 to 29 seats, while Congress can secure 0 to 1 seat. The number of seats for others is 0. The total vote percentage of the BJP here is 57 percent. Whereas the vote percentage of Congress is 38 percent meanwhile, others have 5% votes in their account. The survey of India Daily Live shows NDA is going to secure 29 seats.

On the other hand, there are 11 Lok Sabha seats in Chhattisgarh. According to the survey, BJP can win all 11 seats here. Besides, BJP is also expected to get up to 50 percent votes in Chhattisgarh. The survey has revealed that the vote percentage of BJP here is 51%, while the vote percentage of Congress is 44%. Other candidates can secure 05 percentage of vote.

In the survey of India Daily Live, the BJP alliance NDA seems to be getting the lead in Rajasthan also. BJP can win 24-25 seats in Rajasthan. Whereas Congress seems to be getting 0 to 1 seat. Here BJP is expected to get 52% votes. There are a total of 25 Lok Sabha seats in Rajasthan. Talking about vote percentage, the BJP's vote percentage here is 52%, while Congress's vote percentage is 38%. 

What is situation of BJP and Congress in other states?

Telangana has 17 Lok Sabha seats. According to the survey, the BJP alliance i.e. NDA can get 3 to 5 seats, while Congress can win 8 to 10 seats meanwhile BRS can secure 3 to 5 seats. The vote percentage of Congress is 39, while BJP has a 23 percent vote percentage. The Bharat Rashtra Samithi (BRS) has a vote percentage of 30.

According to the survey, in Delhi, which has 7 Lok Sabha seats, BJP will win 6 to 7 seats, while Congress seems to be reduced to zero. Delhi's ruling party Aam Aadmi Party may also get 0-1 seat. The vote percentage of BJP is 52%. Whereas the vote percentage of Congress is 15 percent. The ruling Aam Aadmi Party will be reduced to 30 percent votes.

In Assam, which has 14 Lok Sabha seats, BJP will win 11 to 12 seats, according to the survey.  Meanwhile opposition's I.N.D.I.A alliance seems to be getting 1 to 2 seats. Whereas others may get 0 to 1 seat. The vote percentage of NDAs is 50%, while I.N.D.I.A alliance has a 43 percent vote bank.

What is the situation in Karnataka?

Karnataka has a total of 28 Lok Sabha seats where the BJP alliance seems to be getting the lead. According to the survey, BJP can get 23 to 24 seats in the state. Whereas Congress can secure 4 to 5 seats. In terms of vote bank, BJP has 56 percent vote bank here, whereas Congress has 41% vote percentage. 

According to the survey, West Bengal, which has 42 Lok Sabha seats, NDA seems to be getting the lead in the survey of India Daily Live. BJP can get 21 to 22 seats while Congress can get 0 to 1 seat in the state. While TMC is expected to get 19 to 21 seats in West Bengal. In terms of vote bank, BJP's vote percentage in Bengal is 43%, whereas Congress has 05% vote percentage and TMC has 44% vote percentage. 

In Goa, BJP seems to be winning on both Lok Sabha seats of the state. While Congress will be reduced to zero, according to the survey. In terms of vote bank, BJP's vote percentage is 52%, whereas I.N.D.I.A alliance has 44 percent vote bank.

Atmosphere in the north-eastern states

Speaking of current standings in the North-Eastern states except Assam, we present you the figures of 11 seats of Arunachal Pradesh, Manipur, Meghalaya, Mizoram, Nagaland, Sikkim, Tripura...

Total Lok Sabha seats in North Eastern states:

NDA- 04-05
I.N.D.I.A- 03-04
OTH-01-03

Vote Percentage
NDA- 42%
I.N.D.I.A- 41%
OTH – 17%

Seats from Jammu to Andhra

Jammu and Kashmir
Total seats- 06
NDA-03-04
I.N.D.I.A- 01-02
OTH-00

Vote Percentage
NDA 47%
I.N.D.I.A. 45%
OTH 08%

Tamil Nadu
Total seats- 39
NDA-00-01
I.N.D.I.A- 30-36
AIADMK-03-06
OTH-00-02

Vote Percentage
BJP- 12%
DMK- 35%
Congress – 17%
AIDMK- 19%
OTH – 17%

Andhra Pradesh
Total seats- 25
NDA-00
YSRCP- 24-25
TDP-00-01
OTH-00

Vote Percentage
NDA 01%
YSRCP 50%
TDP 37%
JSP 10%
OTH 2%

Gujarat
Total seats- 26
BJP- 26
I.N.D.I.A- 00
OTH-00

Vote Percentage
BJP- 62%
I.N.D.I.A- 35%
OTH- 03%

Bihar
Total seats- 40
NDA- 30-31
I.N.D.I.A- 08-10
OTH-00

Vote Percentage
NDA 50%
I.N.D.I.A. - 43%
OTH - 07%

Central UP, Total seats 13

NDA- 11
Congress- 00
SP-02
BSP- 00
OTH 00

Rohilkhand of UP, Total seats 12
NDA- 11
Congress- 00
SP-01
BSP- 00

Awadh UP, Total seats 14
NDA- 13
Congress- 01
SP-00
BSP- 00
OTH 00

Bundelkhand UP, Total seats 4

NDA- 04
Congress- 00
sp-00
BSP- 00
OTH 00

Western UP, Total Seats 8

NDA- 06
Congress- 00
SP-01
RLD-01
OTH 00

Purvanchal UP, Total seats 29

NDA- 28
Congress- 00
SP-01
BSP- 00
OTH 00

Uttar Pradesh, Total seats 80

NDA- 72-74
I.N.D.I.A- 7-8
OTH 00

Vote percentage of the entire UP

NDA- 50%
I.N.D.I.A- 37%
BSP- 8%
OTH- 5%

Party-wise, how many seats can go to whose account in 2024?

BJP- 323-345
Congress- 48-70
DMK 20-24
TMC- 19-21
BJD- 13-15
BRS- 3-5
AAP-4-7
OTH-53-65

How many seats will be given to parties outside the alliance and alliance?

Total seats 543
NDA- 335- 357
I.N.D.I.A- 138-150
BJD- 13-15
BRS- 3-5
YSRCP- 24-25
OTH 12-13