Southwest monsoon progresses towards Northern India: When will it rain?

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has stated that after a delay of 10 days, the southwest monsoon has started moving northward as of Thursday. It has already stabilized in Gujarat, Maharashtra, Chhattisgarh, and southern states, but due to changing weather patterns over the past few decades, the monsoon has now begun advancing northward.

Where can we expect rainfall?

The IMD's latest forecasts suggest that over the next three to four days, the monsoon will cover Gujarat, Maharashtra, Madhya Pradesh, Odisha, Gangetic West Bengal, Jharkhand, Bihar, and some parts of eastern Uttar Pradesh. During this period, these regions are expected to experience heavy to very heavy rainfall.

मध्य महाराष्ट्र में 20 और 21 जून, 2024 के अलग-अलग स्थानों पर भारी (64.5-115.5 मिलीमीटर) से लेकर बहुत भारी वर्षा (115.5-204.4 मिलीमीटर) होने की संभावना है। pic.twitter.com/miM38ihHpi

— India Meteorological Department (@Indiametdept) June 20, 2024

The IMD has stated that conditions are favorable for the further advancement of the southwest monsoon. According to the department, the monsoon has already progressed in some districts of West Bengal as of Thursday and is expected to cover more areas of eastern Bihar in the next three days. During this period, clouds are likely to cover the skies from Bihar to eastern Uttar Pradesh, Jharkhand, and Delhi-NCR.

What is the condition in Delhi?

The atmosphere has also become more humid. In Delhi on Thursday, humidity ranged between 67% and 46%. The IMD also reported that Thursday's maximum temperature was 40 degrees Celsius, which is one degree higher than the average seasonal temperature. The minimum temperature was recorded at 29.6 degrees Celsius, which is also higher than the average by two degrees.

Influence of the Bay of Bengal

According to the IMD, "The influence of the lower-level easterly winds from the Bay of Bengal, combined with the western disturbances, has significantly affected the weather conditions in Delhi on Thursday." The IMD has stated that conditions are favorable for the advancement of the southwest monsoon.

According to the department, the monsoon has progressed in some districts of West Bengal as of last Thursday and is expected to advance further in eastern Bihar within the next three days. During this period, skies from Bihar to eastern Uttar Pradesh, Jharkhand, and Delhi-NCR will be covered with clouds, resulting in increased humidity.

The weather department in Kolkata has informed that the southwest monsoon has reached most parts of North Bengal and has issued a warning for heavy rainfall in the coming five days. Meteorologists have predicted very heavy rainfall in the regions of Alipurduar, Cooch Behar, Jalpaiguri, Kalimpong, and Darjeeling districts in North Bengal over the next five days.