US Elections 2024: In a recent poll conducted by Monmouth University and The Washington Post, former President Donald Trump emerges as the front-runner in the upcoming New Hampshire Republican primary. The survey, which gathered responses from 712 potential voters between January 16 and 20, reveals a significant rise in Trumps popularity, with 52 per cent expressing their intent to vote for him. The poll also sheds light on the dynamics of independent voters and the potential challenges faced by Trumps competitors, including Nikki Haley and Ron DeSantis.US Elections 2024: Trump is leading but is it comfortable yetThe poll underscores Trumps commanding lead, indicating a notable surge from the November 2023 survey. His support has climbed from 46 per cent to an impressive 52 per cent, showcasing a consistent and robust backing among potential voters. Despite a 16-point increase in support for Nikki Haley, she trails Trump with 34 per cent intending to vote for her.US Elections 2024: Steady support for Ron DeSantisFlorida Governor Ron DeSantis lags behind with 8 per cent support, maintaining a steady position from the previous survey in November, where he garnered 7 per cent of potential votes.One significant shift highlighted by the poll is the increased participation of independent voters in the Republican primary. The percentage of registered independents expressing their intent to cast a Republican ballot has risen from 52 per cent in November to 63 per cent in January.US Elections 2024: Voters trust Trump on key issuesDonald Trump retains the trust of potential voters on various key issues, with a notable lead over Nikki Haley. Respondents expressed more confidence in Trump, particularly on immigration policy, where he leads with 62 per cent, compared to Haleys 26 per cent. The former president also maintains an advantage on abortion policy, with 40 per cent trusting him, 29 per cent trusting Haley, and 22 per cent expressing equal trust in both.US Elections 2024: Why is New Hampshire Primary significantThe importance of the New Hampshire Republican presidential primary in the US Elections 2024 is underscored by its historical role in shaping the presidential race. As former New Hampshire Gov. John Sununu aptly puts it, Iowa picks corn New Hampshire picks presidents.US Elections 2024: Challenges for Nikki Haley, Trump for Republican candidateWhile Nikki Haley leads among independent voters, the poll suggests that even a surge in independent votes may not be sufficient to close the gap with Trump. Trump commands 38 per cent support among independent voters, while Haley secures 48 per cent.With a victory in the New Hampshire primary seemingly within reach, Trump is positioned to secure the Republican nomination without encountering significant challenges. The poll results reflect his enduring popularity among potential voters, reaffirming his status as a formidable contender.US Elections 2024: Nevada becomes the focusFollowing the New Hampshire primary, attention shifts to Nevada, which is scheduled to hold a state-run primary on February 6 and a party caucus on February 8. Delegates will be chosen based on the caucus results, with both Trump and Haley expected to play roles in the subsequent stages of the Republican race.US Elections 2024: Campaign spending dynamicsThe competitive landscape is also reflected in campaign spending. In New Hampshire alone, a staggering $77.5 million has been spent on campaign ads since the beginning of last year. Haley and her supporters emerge as the top spenders, with Team Haley investing $30.9 million, surpassing Trump and his allies, who have spent $15.7 million.As the New Hampshire primary approaches, the political landscape remains dynamic, setting the stage for further developments in the Republican nomination race.
