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How will the fight for global supremacy tread between US, China in 2024?

From aerial confrontations to diplomatic endeavours, the geopolitical stage witnesses a delicate interplay of power dynamics.

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Edited By: Mayank Kasyap
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ANI

New Delhi: In the intricate dance of global politics, tensions between the United States and China persist, casting shadows over diplomatic efforts and economic negotiations. Despite a meeting between US President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping in November and subsequent high-level engagements, the rift between the two nations deepens.

The planned visit of US Secretary of State Antony Blinken to Beijing in February, a pivotal moment for diplomatic dialogue, faced an unexpected hurdle. A Chinese surveillance balloon, traversing the skies over the US, triggered a dramatic response. US military fighter jets intercepted and shot down the balloon, leading to a cascade of consequences.

A diplomatic fallout?

Defence Secretary Lloyd Austin affirmed that President Biden authorized the downing of the balloon, escalating tensions between the two nations. China expressed strong dissatisfaction, claiming the vessel was a weather balloon gone astray. The incident disrupted diplomatic channels, with China refusing talks with US Defence Secretary Lloyd Austin.

Economic ripples for Beijing?

In response to the perceived threat posed by the Chinese surveillance balloon, the Biden administration imposed restrictions on the sale of certain US technology to Chinese aviation and technology companies. The US Commerce Department added Chinese entities involved in airship and balloon-related military programs to its entity list, limiting their access to American parts and technologies.

Taiwan's strategic role

Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen's visit to New York City added another layer of complexity. Despite warnings from Beijing, Tsai emphasized Taiwan's challenges, prompting strong condemnation from China. In retaliation, China imposed sanctions on US organizations, including the Hudson Institute and the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library, for hosting the Taiwanese President.

Blinken's diplomatic endeavour

US Secretary of State Antony Blinken's subsequent visit to China aimed at thawing relations and fostering dialogue. While discussions covered human rights concerns and economic practices, tensions lingered. Blinken emphasized the importance of resolving cases of detained American citizens in China, maintaining the US stance on Taiwan, and addressing China's military activities.

Pelosi's Taiwan visit and military drills

Strains escalated when then-US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi visited Taiwan, triggering anger from Beijing. China responded with military drills around Taiwan, blocking military communications with the US. The subsequent meeting between Presidents Biden and Xi Jinping aimed to recalibrate relations but fell short of dispelling deep-seated tensions.

US-China prospects for 2024

As 2023 draws to a close, the trajectory of US-China relations remains uncertain. The Biden-Xi meeting, while reopening military channels, didn't fully alleviate strategic mistrust. Experts acknowledge the significance of resumed communication but stress the need for substantial changes to reduce the risk of mishaps and escalations.

The events of 2023 have etched a complex narrative in the annals of US-China relations. From aerial confrontations to diplomatic endeavours, the geopolitical stage witnesses a delicate interplay of power dynamics. As the world anticipates the unfolding of 2024, the future of these global power dynamics hangs in the balance, waiting to be shaped by the decisions of nations and leaders.

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