How will Maldives parliamentary election affect its relation with India? Muizzu's party holds strong lead

Muizzu's party securing victory may exacerbate challenges in India's relations with the Maldives.

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The parliamentary election in the Maldives on Sunday revealed a significant lead for President Mohamed Muizzu's ruling coalition, potentially indicating further complexities in India's relations with the island nation, already strained due to Male's alignment with Beijing.

Reports from Maldivian media, hours into the vote count, showed Muizzu's People's National Congress (PNC) leading in 59 out of 93 parliamentary seats. Meanwhile, the opposition Maldivian Democratic Party (MDP), previously advocating an "India First" policy, trailed with leads in only 15 seats. Other entities like the Maldives Development Alliance, the Jumhooree Party, and independent candidates showed leads in seven seats combined, suggesting a comfortable majority for PNC in Parliament.

During the campaign, Muizzu framed the parliamentary election as a referendum on his government's policies. The PNC urged voters to secure a majority to swiftly fulfill presidential campaign promises, including the withdrawal of Indian military personnel responsible for operating helicopters and an aircraft in the Maldives.

A significant development has been the withdrawal of Indian military personnel, mainly involved in humanitarian and medical missions, with the final batch scheduled to leave by May 10. These personnel will be replaced by civilian experts.

Muizzu, critical of former President Mohammed Ibrahim Solih for allegedly following foreign directives, made impassioned appeals for national sovereignty and protection at pre-election rallies. His government's decisions, especially regarding foreign relations, have been closely scrutinized amid growing influence competition between India and China in the region. Both nations have invested substantially in infrastructure and housing projects in the Maldives recently.