China scrambles to reverse dwindling population as birth rate drops for second year

According to China's National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), the country's population fell by around 2.08 million in 2023 after having already dropped by 850,000 in 2022

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Once the most populous country in the world, China reported that its population shrank for a second consecutive year in 2023, underscoring the country's deepening demographic crisis that threatens future economic growth.

According to China's National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), the country's population fell by around 2.08 million in 2023 after having already dropped by 850,000 in 2022 - the first decline since the Great Famine of 1961. China now has an estimated 1.409 billion people, recently falling behind India as the world's most populous country.

Record-low birth rates in China

The ongoing population slide is attributed to record declines in birth rates along with pandemic deaths. China's 2023 birth rate sank to the lowest since the foundation of the Communist regime in China. The country recorded a drop of 6.39 births per 1,000 people, down from 6.77 in 2022.

Meanwhile, China's GDP grew slightly above the government's 5.0% target at 5.2% in 2023 despite fresh virus outbreaks. However, the pace still marks China's ‘worst economic performance’ in over three decades.

Shrinking working-age population

Reflecting the aging crisis, China's workforce population of those aged 16-59 shrank by nearly 11 million compared to 2022. In contrast, the 60+ population swelled by almost 17 million.

In 2015, China abolished its notorious one-child policy in favor of a two-child limit. But that has failed to stave off demographic decline amid changing social norms and the high cost of urban living and education.

Economic headwinds

With a decreasing workforce and aging citizenry straining public resources, experts warn China's current demographic shift could spell trouble for the country's future prosperity.

Leaders in Beijing ace pressure to spur population growth and productivity while several economic drags limit room for sweeping rescues. Ongoing virus curbs and housing/debt crises further cloud the outlook.