ANI (File)
Lok Sabha Elections 2024: In western Uttar Pradesh, significant castes like the Rajputs, Tyagis, and Sainis are openly expressing their dissatisfaction with the BJP, setting the stage for potential electoral shifts. Here's an in-depth analysis of the caste dynamics in this region and its implications for the looming Lok Sabha elections.
With the Lok Sabha elections mere days away, the BJP faces challenges in western Uttar Pradesh, traditionally a stronghold where it garnered substantial support from the Hindu electorate in the past decade. However, recent developments indicate a shift in sentiment, particularly among influential castes.
The Rajputs, Tyagis, and Sainis, feeling marginalized by what they perceive as inadequate representation, are openly expressing their disillusionment with the BJP. This discontent is palpable, with calls for boycotting the party gaining momentum within these communities.
The emergence of caste-based political alliances is reshaping the electoral landscape in western UP. Recent events, such as the massive Rajput rally in Saharanpur, signal a growing trend towards caste-centric politics, with leaders from various parties vying for support from influential caste groups.
In constituencies like Muzaffarnagar, Kairana, Meerut, Bijnor, Amroha, and Nagina, the intricate caste equations play a decisive role in shaping electoral outcomes. The BJP's candidate selection strategy, often favoring certain castes over others, has sparked discontent and fueled demands for equitable representation. Here is a list of caste equation in major constituencies:
Muslim: 36 per cent
Jatav: 10 per cent
Jat: 8 per cent
Rajput: 8 per cent
Tyagi: 5-6 per cent
Saini: 4 per cent
Kashyap/Kohar: 5 per cent
Gujjar: 3 per cent
Muslim: 36 per cent
Jatav: 11 per cent
Jat: 7 per cent
Gujjar: 7 per cent
Saini: 7 per cent
Kashyap: 7 per cent
Rajput: 6 per cent
Muslim: 32 per cent
Jatav: 15 per cent
Brahman, Baniya, Punjabi: 13 per cent
Jat: 7 per cent
Gujjar: 4 per cent
Rajput: 6 per cent
Tyagi: 6 per cent
OBC and others: 5 per cent
Muslim: 41 per cent
Jatav: 15 per cent
Jat: 7 per cent
Gujjar: 6 per cent
Saini: 6 per cent
Rajput: 5 per cent
Muslim: 42 per cent
Jatav: 13 per cent
Rajput: 8 per cent
Jat: 7 per cent
Khagi: 7 per cent
Saini: 5 per cent
Gujjar: 4 per cent
Others: 4 per cent
Muslim: 46 per cent
Jatav: 20 per cent
Rajput 12 per cent
Others: 6 per cent
Despite mounting pressure, the BJP has remained steadfast in its candidate choices, often fielding candidates from dominant castes while overlooking the aspirations of others. This approach has exacerbated tensions and deepened fissures within the party's traditional support base.
Opposition parties, including the BSP and SP, are capitalizing on the BJP's vulnerabilities by reaching out to disgruntled caste groups and forging alliances based on shared grievances. This concerted effort aims to consolidate anti-BJP sentiments and challenge the ruling party's dominance in the region.
The BJP's reluctance to address the concerns of diverse caste groups threatens to undermine its electoral prospects in western UP. Failure to course-correct could result in significant electoral losses and reshape the political landscape in favor of opposition parties.
As the Lok Sabha elections draw near, the BJP finds itself grappling with mounting dissent from influential caste groups in western Uttar Pradesh. The shifting caste dynamics and burgeoning alliances pose formidable challenges to the party's electoral fortunes, underscoring the need for strategic recalibration and inclusive governance policies to regain lost ground.
Copyright © 2025 Top Indian News
